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The proposed work will directly support the careers and future career choice of the named RA and of project students, Masters students, apprentices and placement students working in the lab and enthuse them for work in research and psychology. This research program tested how social predictions come about, which cues they rely on, and whether they differ in people with autism spectrum conditions (ASC). The main hypothesis (Objective 1), derived from recent predictive coding models of (social) perception (8), was that any idea about others' goals and intentions would be immediately translated into mental images of what they would do as a consequence. We indeed showed that people make such predictions, which take the form of mental images of others' forthcoming actions, and which affect how their actual behaviour is perceived and interpreted (reviewed in 12). We showed, for example, that participants reported that a hand moved further towards an object than it really did, if they thought the actor wanted to reach for the object, and further away when anticipating withdrawals (1). The prior literature assumes that perceptual predictions emerge from the observer's own motor system, allowing them to plan actions for the other person (Objective 3). We should then find cross-over effects: the observer's own action goals should induce similar perceptual distortions as inferred goals of others. However, despite several attempts, no such effects were found (1). Nevertheless, we did demonstrate that, in the tactile domain, prediction effects were larger when actions were viewed from a 1st person than a 3rd person perspective (3), suggesting at the very least common mechanisms for predicting own and others' action. Moreover, we confirmed that predicted actions affect own motor output, showing gaze following for predicted gaze of others (4,7), and that automatic imitation is larger for actions that are expected because they produce positive outcomes (12). Together, these findings suggest a revision of prior theorizing: that predictions first occur perceptually, and that motoric activation follows as a second step, supporting efficient coordination of behaviour (4,5,6,9). Finally (Objective 4), we tested whether social predictions are made differently in those with an ASC. Surprisingly, we found that goal-based predictions are, if anything, stronger in ASC than neurotypicals (forthcoming), suggesting an over-reliance on high-level conceptual knowledge at the expense of actual sensory input. These findings may explain why those with ASC tend to avoid social situations, which cannot be made predictable by prior information. Together, our findings suggest that people constantly predict others' behaviour. The resulting mental images can then help perception (e. .

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